Slow Trader Diary – week 35

We are open with gold.

Broker charges for the week were a credit of £9.48.

Here’s our gold trade:

Snip20150829_1

Our target is in the region of 1212. This is in-line with the COT and if the present Up continues it will nicely form a recent Up (or recent trend upwards). However, as we have seen this week, the market remains volatile.

Of the other trades we considered earlier in the week:

Silver moved down lower than expected, did not provide price at a level I could determine. So no trade.

Snip20150829_3

NZDUSD remains a possibility to go up briefly. But it is presently stable below its low of recent weeks. It may move up soon. However, this is an advanced trade as it is against the big trend and is without a recent Up.

Snip20150829_2

GBPUSD, having been quite stable through the initial turmoil of the week, just blew down. It may turn at the 15350 region or continue down to as low as 15190. I’m less convinced of this trade. It has, for now, become choppy which always makes for a difficult read. The COT is still a buy but is weakening, we do not have a recent trend, although the mid trend remains up. Only excellent (daily) price will convince me to take GBPUSD at the moment.

Snip20150829_5

 

EURUSD is approaching our predicted bounce point. However, the COT is about to turn and we are all aware of the volatility presently associated with the EUR. My own thought is that the bounce could happen but it will be short lived. Price may turn down again before the previous high thus establishing a recent Down (or recent down trend).

Snip20150829_6

WTI, or crude oil, bounced off its lower stop this week. This move is gently supported by the COT, nothing dramatic for the time being. Too early to decide, but it is on the watch radar now.

Finally, the S&P and FTSE have moved up slightly, but the roller coaster might not be over yet.

As I’m away for a few weeks the next diary will be 26th September.

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