More on the long-term investment model

My recent blog(s) were in regard to long-term investing. By long-term I’m thinking 15 to 30 years. Nick has given us, from each companies past ten years of annual reports, where available, his estimation of a company’s future value (MOS) and measure of consistency as a percentage of growth.

From the FTSE 350 companies, Nick found that only ten companies met his criteria. Of these top ten companies, meant for long-term ISA or SIPP investment, we need to understand the principles of the company and be satisfied that a company has a product, method or brand that will be around after the next ten years.

Nick has provided us with an old 3rd, mid 3rd and latest 3rd consistency to help us determine this. For example, Blackberry would have scored highly all the way to its end on this system; however, the clue would have been in Blackberry’s old, mid and latest consistency which would have shown a big down slope.

Nick will refresh these calculations every few months. Primarily to capture the most recent annual report – three of which, on our current calculation, were from the end of 2015. To help, or possibly confuse, I’ve provided a brief chart synopsis of each of the top ten companies. I will continue to do this at the release of an updated calculation from Nick.

New readers to this blog please note that my full-time business is short-term trading. Most of my blogs therefore will be focused on the short-term stuff. My detailed ‘how I trade’ page is only associated with short-term trading.

Personally, I’m only in favour of short-term and the very long-term trading/investing model. I’m not in favour of the mid-term trading timeframe which constitutes the majority of the trading/investing world – pension funds and the like. This is a timeframe from the near term out to 15 years. I also feel that many pay too much for the services of providing mid-term investing. ‘Tony Robbins, Money Master the Game’ shows how every 1% in charges results in providing the investing company 20% of the final fund. Possibly a reason why a finance company made our top ten!

If we are to invest in the mid-term, Robbins advocates a cash, share, commodity and bond mix. There are a few investment companies that provide such a fund – an independent financial advisor could help. Such funds are not exciting when the share market is going up rapidly; but such a fund usually provides a profit  – even when the share market heads south.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s